[Tom Frederick]

I like this analysis. Not Financial Advice.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdY6-pb9_Z8&themeRefresh=1

[Tom Frederick]

I can’t get the video to load 🙁

[Tom Frederick]

Hey ARC Family, this is a great review and analysis of Hyperliquid (HYPE) for your review. I got it from another defi community that I follow and wanted to share it as an excellent example of token research. DYOR. NFA.

Hyperliquid.pdf 1 MB PDF - Click to view

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• Copy Download Link

[Tom Frederick]

When entering into a bull market, you want to have a plan for taking profits. Miles has some good insights!
https://youtu.be/-ZMlbh9uD80?si=HXn3rw0hF0xYWM6J

[Tom Frederick]

🚀 Decentralized Physical AI (DePAI) is Heating Up 🚀

Hey ARC Family, I just added a narrative to my portfolio…The future isn’t just AI – it’s AI in the real world. Robotics is set to explode into a $372B market in the next decade, and blockchain is about to own a piece of it.

🔥 Top Trends Right Now:

• AI Infrastructure: Projects like TAO (BitTensor) dominate with scalable subnet architecture. PEAK Network is another beast, building the modular backbone for decentralized machines and autonomous agents.

• Cloud Computing: ATH (Athea) stands out over RNDR and FIL for raw compute power. For high-risk, high-reward players, EDGE Network looks criminally undervalued and is positioning for a robotics pivot.

• Robotics Infrastructure: EXMAQUINA (token: DEUS, TGE just launched) brings VC-level early-stage robotics investments to everyday holders. Think: a decentralized “robotics ETF.”

• Hardware DePIN Networks: MWT (Morphware) and PIN (Pinlink) are acquiring GPUs like crazy, leveraging cheap renewable energy and targeting real-world AI agents.

Robotics, AI, and DePIN are converging — and the smartest money is already moving. Prepare now or watch from the sidelines. 🧠⚡

[Tom Frederick]

This is worth a listen when building your crypto portfolio!

https://youtube.com/shorts/fyA9J92i7-M?si=lz6mIyqDOxE4SM5P

[Tom Frederick]

As the markets heat up, you may want to consider hot items for your portfolio…NFA!

🚨 Market News 🚨
Markets still shaky, but alpha never sleeps. Here’s what’s moving and where smart money is positioning 👇

🔥 Solana Ecosystem Still Dominating
SOL continues to flex—traction, liquidity inflows (even from ETH), and holding strong above $120. Momentum targets? $175–$200.

• $RAY: Launch Lab feature sparked bullish vibes—holding $1.40, eyes on $3–$3.50.

• $JUP: Oversold and prepping for a bounce. Reclaim = potential move to $0.62.
  SOL is outperforming the field—clear strength, clear setup.

🚀 Sonic Chain – Quietly Exploding
TVL approaching $1.5B. Airdrop farming still live (likely to be extended), and engagement is surging despite broader market chop.

• $SWAPX: One of the cheapest DEXs across chains by TVL. Reversal setup + high APR pools = juicy play.

• $BEETS: Dominates both DEX and LST sectors (68% market share in LSTs). Only $6.5M market cap, cashflow-positive, and likely to shine during airdrop season.
  Sonic UX is fast and smooth. Solid farming, underpriced assets, and a real shot at upside.

🧠 TAO – The AI Bet in Crypto
Ripped from $188 → $312 and still has legs. It’s the credible AI play in crypto: great tech, deep community, exchange exposure.

• TAO Subnets: Stake TAO into verticals like image gen or DeFi to earn emissions—tons of low-cap subnet plays in here.

• TAOFI: Building the DeFi layer for TAO. Early campaign now live (“Bits” = potential future rewards). Backed by the team behind Sturdy. Keep it on your radar.

📈 Hyperliquid & HyperEVM Heating Up
Hyperliquid is eating CEX volume. Strong token, sticky product-market fit.

• HyperEVM just launched—users can stake, LP, lend, and likely qualify for future airdrops.

• TVL is climbing even in a weak market. This one’s being accumulated by sharp players. Ignore at your own risk.

⚡️ Ecosystems showing strength in weak conditions deserve attention. Sonic, TAO, Hyperliquid—this is where the game’s evolving. Position accordingly.

[Tom Frederick]

Sonic ecosystem update:

Metric growth has been solid—even in this choppy market, Sonic is one of the few ecosystems still expanding. Farming continues across top-tier pools, especially stables on DEXs like SwapX, Beets, and WAGMI. The S token remains the anchor position, but there’s been recent accumulation of $SWPX and $BEETS, both still trading well below their February highs. These are higher-risk, lower-cap plays—but the upside potential remains if the broader Sonic narrative gains traction ahead of the airdrop.

🔍 Ecosystem is Growing:

SwapX – Arguably the leading DEX on Sonic, SwapX commands $52M TVL, yet its market cap is just $2.6M, giving it a 0.05 Mcap/TVL ratio. It’s pacing $6.5M in annualized fees (2.5x market cap), and turning over ~40% of its TVL daily—a clear sign of real user activity. With over $2.2B lifetime volume and nearly 49M $SWPX locked by 2,100+ users, this thing is showing serious signs of stickiness—yet still ~78% down from ATH.

Beets – Dual-threat: runs a top DEX and powers Sonic’s dominant liquid staking token (stS), which holds 68% of the LST market share on-chain. Sitting on $202M TVL, but only a $6.6M market cap (Mcap/TVL = 0.032). It’s producing $1.46M/year in DAO revenue from $9.6M in fees, and February alone saw $107K in fees with a 122% cash flow surplus—revenues easily covered token emissions. That’s a rare combo: scale, earnings, and sustainability.

With airdrops looming and valuations still deeply discounted, this could be one of the most asymmetric ecosystems in play right now. Risk is real—but so is the setup 🚀

• This reply was modified 7 months, 2 weeks ago by  Tom Frederick.

[Tom Frederick]

🚀 Wanna know which tokens or projects have the most potential? Follow the stablecoins! 💵

Stablecoins continue to be one of the most dominant forces in crypto, fueling DeFi growth, cross-border payments, and institutional adoption. With stablecoin expansion accelerating, several altcoins stand to benefit directly from their increasing usage.

🔹 Top Layer-1 Ecosystems Powering Stablecoins
🔥 Ethereum (ETH): The foundation of stablecoin issuers like USDC & DAI, plus the go-to network for Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization & DeFi liquidity.
⚡ Solana (SOL): A high-speed L1, thriving on real-time, high-volume stablecoin transactions across DeFi, gaming, and payments.
🌍 Tron (TRX): The dominant chain for Tether (USDT), handling over 50% of USDT’s total supply, making it a key player for global stablecoin flows.

🔹 Major Stablecoin-Focused Altcoins
🏦 Aave (AAVE): The largest DeFi lending protocol, where stablecoins are the most borrowed asset. Its GHO stablecoin adds a new revenue stream.
🛠 Maker (MKR): The original decentralized stablecoin protocol, with DAI adoption directly driving demand for MKR.
💸 Curve (CRV): The leading DEX for stablecoin liquidity, with crvUSD reinforcing its stablecoin trading dominance.
🔄 Synthetix (SNX): A pioneer in on-chain synthetic assets, benefiting from the use of sUSD stablecoin.
🌐 Frax (FXS): A hybrid algorithmic stablecoin (FRAX) provider, integrating lending, liquidity, and staking.
⚖ Liquity (LQTY): Minimal-governance ETH-backed stablecoin (LUSD) issuer, offering zero-interest loans.
🔄 Balancer (BAL): A customizable DEX well-positioned to capture stablecoin swap volume.
💰 Ethena (ENA): Issuer of USDe, a synthetic stablecoin positioned for market expansion.

💡 Why This Matters:
Stablecoins aren’t just passive assets—they drive liquidity, utility, and growth across DeFi. As regulatory clarity improves and adoption increases, these projects could see significant upside.

👀 Which stablecoin-backed projects are you watching? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️

[Tom Frederick]

🚀 Short Squeeze Frenzy: What’s Happening in Crypto?

The market is seeing aggressive short squeezes across multiple altcoins, with MAVIA skyrocketing 300% and EOS jumping 40%. These moves are fueled by late short sellers getting trapped, especially when negative funding rates force liquidations. Perpetual futures (perps) amplify these squeezes, as high leverage unwinds quickly when momentum flips bullish.

🔍 Bitcoin Holding Key Support Levels
Bitcoin (BTC) recently bounced off a critical support zone around $84K, holding what traders call the “money noodle” levels. While this has allowed some altcoins to regain strength, it’s not yet a full-blown alt season. BTC must stay above these levels on higher timeframes to keep market-wide relief intact.

🏛 FOMC Recap & Market Reaction
The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, with Jerome Powell maintaining a cautious stance. While some hawkish concerns remain—particularly around inflation—markets took the meeting as neutral-to-positive, keeping the risk-on rally alive. However, upcoming tariff deadlines and macroeconomic uncertainties could still bring unexpected volatility.

📊 Macro Trends & What’s Next
Insights from macro analysts suggest that the market’s bullish continuation depends on whether inflation remains transitory. If inflation stays high, the Fed may delay any rate cuts, keeping pressure on risk assets. However, with no immediate policy shocks, the path remains open for a short-term crypto bounce. Upcoming options expirations and tariff news could be the next big market movers.

🔥 How Short Squeezes Work & What to Watch
Short squeezes happen when heavily shorted altcoins see sudden buy pressure, forcing liquidations that drive prices even higher. Some key technical signals to spot potential squeezes include:
✅ Breakouts above key resistance levels
✅ High-timeframe reclaims
✅ Negative funding rates on futures

Coins currently showing short-squeeze potential include:
💎 PEPE, FARTCOIN, SONIC, SUI, BONK, and LINK

Traders watching these setups instead of chasing random rumors can better manage risk vs. reward in this fast-moving market.

💡 Altcoins With Real Utility & Long-Term Potential
While many altcoins are experiencing short-term price spikes, only a few have true staying power. Some projects stand out because they generate real revenue beyond speculation:
✅ XMW – Uses an energy arbitrage model, consistently buying back its own token.
✅ AI & Thematic Altcoins – While some hype is fading, those with actual demand & sustainable use cases will thrive long-term.

In uncertain conditions, tokens backed by real demand & strong fundamentals will likely outperform in the next cycle.

📈 Short-Term Squeezes vs. Long-Term Market Trends
Even though short squeezes cause rapid price spikes, they don’t guarantee a full trend reversal. The true market shift will be confirmed when:
🔹 Spot demand increases significantly
🔹 Higher-timeframe downtrends officially break

Until then, it remains a trader’s market—great for short-term plays but also an opportunity to exit weaker alts into strength. Key BTC levels like $90K will determine whether this squeeze-driven rally can turn into a sustained market uptrend.

👀 How are you playing this market? Trading squeezes or staying cautious? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️

[Tom Frederick]

🚀 5 Key Lessons for Navigating DeFi Like a Pro 🔥

Jumping into DeFi can be overwhelming, but knowing what actually works can save both capital and sanity. Here are 5 essential lessons (plus a bonus analogy 🏎️) that every DeFi investor should keep in mind:

🔹 1️⃣ Semi-Boring = Smart Investing
Not every shiny new project is worth chasing. Building a strong foundation with lower-risk assets helps avoid overextension. If a portfolio requires constant monitoring, it’s likely too risky. A stable passive approach often leads to long-term success.

🔹 2️⃣ Treat DeFi Like a Business
DeFi isn’t a casino—it’s an investment strategy. Smart investors:
✅ Track positions with intention 📊
✅ Make calculated decisions, not random allocations 🎯
✅ Ensure that their portfolio enhances their life instead of causing stress 😵‍💫

Think of DeFi assets as employees—if they aren’t working for you, fire them.

🔹 3️⃣ Rebalancing = Hidden Risk
Many liquidity providers over-rebalance, but each adjustment can lock in impermanent loss. Instead of constantly tweaking, focus on:
✅ Choosing a strong entry point 📉
✅ Understanding historical volume & asset correlation 🔗
✅ Setting an optimized price range from the start 📍

🔹 4️⃣ More Assets ≠ Less Risk
Holding too many tokens doesn’t guarantee safety. Expanding into too many assets often increases risk instead of reducing it. A strong, high-conviction portfolio of well-researched assets is far more effective than over-diversification.

🔹 5️⃣ Visually Map Your Strategy
A one-pager of your DeFi positions helps maintain clarity. Using tools like Miro, Google Slides (or paper and pencil) you can create a visual roadmap that includes:
✅ Lending & borrowing positions
✅ Single-asset holdings
✅ Liquidity pools
✅ KPIs & investment goals

This structure ensures better decision-making and helps refine strategies over time (Note: you can also see a visual of your portfolio with a defi portfolio app like CoinStats, Nansen, or DeBank!)

🏎️ (Bonus) Build a Mario Kart-Themed DeFi Portfolio
Think of DeFi investing like racing around the track:
🚗 Stable, foundational positions = consistent laps around the course 🏁
🚀 High-risk plays = Nitro boosts or blue boxes 🎁

The key? Don’t chase every blue box—timing is everything. A well-balanced mix of stability and risk ensures long-term success without unnecessary wipeouts.

🔥 DeFi rewards those who play smart. Are you managing your portfolio like a business, or are you still chasing every “blue box”? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️

[Tom Frederick]

Half the battle in building a good portfolio is knowing when to buy and when to sell…

🚀 Mastering Market Phases: When to Buy & When to Wait 📊

Understanding market phases is crucial for navigating crypto successfully. Buying at the right time can make all the difference between massive gains or being trapped in a losing position. Here’s how to avoid falling knives and position smartly for the next bull run.

🔻 1️⃣ Avoid Buying in a Downtrend
Downtrends are dangerous for buyers, yet many try to catch falling knives—a strategy that usually results in high-cost basis entries that are difficult to recover from.

📉 Example: Solana (SOL) consistently made lower highs & lower lows—a textbook bearish structure. Buying in these conditions leads to deep losses, even if a bounce eventually comes. Instead of relying on news hype, it’s better to conserve capital and wait for clear trend shifts.

🔄 2️⃣ Accumulation Phases = Prime Entry Zones
The best time to accumulate is when an asset finds a solid floor—where seller exhaustion meets strong buyer interest.

✅ Sideways price action = stronger support levels
✅ Tighter stop-losses = controlled risk
✅ Only some altcoins will truly accumulate—many will keep bleeding

Spotting which projects successfully establish a base can help pinpoint Q3’s potential outperformers. Patience is key.

📈 3️⃣ Buying Uptrends = Best Risk-to-Reward
The strongest buying opportunities happen when price action shifts into an uptrend—where assets consistently make higher highs & higher lows.

🎯 The Strategy:
✅ Buy dips within an uptrend
✅ Use stop-losses to protect capital
✅ Exit immediately if the trend structure breaks

Bitcoin (BTC) has followed this pattern in previous cycles, offering multiple re-entry opportunities along the way. The biggest mistake? Holding after a clear structure break. Many traders learned this the hard way in late 2024.

🔍 4️⃣ Combining Fundamentals with Technicals
The best plays mix strong fundamentals with solid technical setups.

🚀 Top Project Watchlist:

• Mantle (MNT): Backed by World Liberty Finance, showing strong accumulation potential.
• Avalanche (AVAX): Gaining traction in institutional portfolios.
• Chainlink (LINK): Essential for real-world adoption & DeFi growth.

Even with fundamentally strong assets, defined ranges & breakout confirmations should be in place before allocating serious capital.

🎯 5️⃣ Focus on a Tight, High-Conviction Portfolio
Instead of managing too many positions, a focused portfolio of 5-10 strong plays allows for better tracking & execution.

🔹 How to Structure a Portfolio Efficiently:
✅ Build a watchlist of 20-30 promising tokens
✅ Narrow it down to 5-10 with the best mix of fundamentals & price action
✅ Monitor accumulation zones & breakout confirmations

💡 The Bottom Line: The best traders don’t chase—they wait for the market to come to them. Whether buying accumulation ranges or trend breakouts, having a structured approach will always outperform emotional trading.

👀 What’s your current market strategy? Are you waiting for confirmations or already positioned? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️

[Tom Frederick]

🚀 New Delta-Neutral Strategy Alert! 🚀

One thing I have been doing lately to build my portfolio is find alternatives to spot holding that can provide passive income! Here’s a way to do that…This is a powerful delta-neutral play—using GMX on Arbitrum & Dolomite.

The market’s been rough lately, but that doesn’t mean your yield has to suffer. Here is a strategy that lets you earn 27-40% APR while staying delta-neutral—meaning you can generate cash flow no matter which way the market moves.

Here’s what you’ll learn:
✅ Earn yield from traders’ fees using GM Link USD
✅ Boost returns with a looped strategy—without added exposure
✅ Avoid impermanent loss while stacking passive income
✅ Minimize risk by acting as the counterparty for leveraged traders

This is a game-changer for anyone looking to stabilize earnings in DeFi.

📺 Watch the full breakdown now and start earning today!

Use This Delta Neutral Strategy To Earn Cash Flow in All Markets.

[Tom Frederick]

This is from Mark Moss…it might be worth learning about as you navigate the rough seas of current market conditions…

The markets are in freefall. Bitcoin plunging. Tech stocks are bleeding. The fear index at levels we haven’t seen since March 2020!

But what if I told you this is all part of the plan? What if the market turmoil we’re seeing isn’t a mistake, but a calculated strategy from the new administration?

Here’s what most people are missing: Trump is playing a high-stakes game of chicken with the Fed. He needs to crash the market in the short term to set up his bigger agenda:

-Force interest rate cuts

–Refinance the massive national debt

-Create a once-in-a-generation buying opportunity

-Position America as the ultimate Bitcoin superpower

-It’s brilliant, but brutal.

And it’s creating extreme fear among investors who don’t understand what’s happening behind the scenes.

Remember Warren Buffett’s timeless wisdom: “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”

Right now, fear is at extreme levels. The last time we saw readings this low, Bitcoin was trading at $3,800… and we all know what happened next.

This is not the time to panic sell. This is the time to strategically position yourself. Because once Trump “rips the bandaid off” and frontloads the pain, what follows will be a market surge unlike anything we’ve seen in decades.

But you need to know:

-Which sectors will explode first

-Where Elon Musk is quietly positioning his billions

-How to leverage the SPARK Framework to identify the biggest opportunities

-The exact timeline of the Q-Wave Cycle we’re entering

I’m revealing all of this and more in a special LIVE presentation this Thursday. Join me for a Special Live Presentation… The First 100 Days: Ride the Trump-Musk Agenda to Wealth & Discover The 5 Trends Set to Explode in 2025

Save your seat here: https://marketdisruptors.acemlnb.com/lt.php?x=3DZy~GDMUFGbEH7_yA1IUuGh262lvQUkk~c3Xqc5Kqag58F._ky.0uNs3HVzitb3kNYwXHkWI3Ci7pF

This is a FREE Event, But Zoom Limits Attendance to Only 500, So Grab Your Spot Now!

In this exclusive training, you’ll discover:

-The power of the Q-Wave Surge: What it is and why it’s revolutionizing AI + Crypto 2.0.

-Why the 2nd Stage is about to 10x: The timing of the 2nd stage of Crypto + AI creates a 2.0 that dwarfs the original crypto boom.

-The Investment Myth holding you back: Forget “diversification” – there are only 2 sectors worth investing in as this 2nd stage of the Q Wave takes off.

-Timing is Everything: Stage one was powerful, Stage 2 is life changing, but the window won’t stay open long. Know exactly when it closes and when to act.

-Watch Out for Hidden Risks: What most financial advisors suggest has more risk than acting in this wealth window to safeguard your wealth right now.

Don’t let fear keep you paralyzed while the smart money positions for the rebound.

Save your spot here before it fills up: https://marketdisruptors.acemlnb.com/lt.php?x=3DZy~GDMUFGbEH7_yA1IUuGh262lvQUkk~c3Xqc5Kqag58F._ky.0uNs3HVzitb3kNYwXHkWI3Ci7pF

• This reply was modified 8 months, 3 weeks ago by  Tom Frederick.

[Tom Frederick]

🚀 White House Crypto Summit: What You Need to Know 🇺🇸

The first-ever White House Crypto Summit is happening this Friday, hosted by President Donald Trump himself. This historic event is bringing together some of the biggest names in the industry: Brian Armstrong (Coinbase), leaders from Robinhood, Kraken, Crypto.com, Ripple, and possibly even Vitalik Buterin, Anatoly Yakovenko, and Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino.

This isn’t just a symbolic event—it has the potential to shape the future of U.S. crypto policy. Expect discussions on regulation, blockchain innovation, stablecoin frameworks, and most importantly, the Strategic Crypto Reserve.

🔥 Trump’s Strategic Crypto Reserve – What’s the Plan? 🔥

The crypto world is still buzzing over Trump’s unexpected Sunday announcement about creating a Strategic Crypto Reserve. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Cardano, XRP, and Solana were specifically named, sparking speculation about which altcoins could be added next. Could more tokens be revealed during Friday’s summit? If so, expect high volatility across the markets.

📌 Strategic Reserve vs. Sovereign Wealth Fund – Know the Difference

Many traders are confusing these two terms:
💰 A Strategic Reserve would likely focus on Bitcoin as a global hedge, much like gold reserves.
📈 A Sovereign Wealth Fund would be more active, investing in various altcoins for long-term growth.

While Trump has used these terms interchangeably, the market expects Bitcoin to dominate the reserve while altcoins could be managed under a Sovereign Wealth Fund approach.

🗣 What Industry Leaders Are Saying

📢 Brian Armstrong (Coinbase) believes the focus should be on Bitcoin as digital gold.
📢 Hunter Horsley (Bitwise) agrees, emphasizing Bitcoin’s unique store-of-value status.
📢 Nick from Coin Bureau reminds everyone that Congress must still approve funding and legal frameworks before anything becomes official.

This is why Friday’s announcements are critical for traders and investors alike.

🔍 Which Altcoins Could Be Added?

If Trump expands the reserve or introduces an altcoin-focused fund, expect U.S.-based projects to be prioritized. The most likely altcoins will fit into at least one of these categories:
✅ U.S.-developed projects
✅ Tied to an ETF application
✅ Represented at the summit
✅ Previously mentioned by Trump

📊 Top Altcoins to Watch:
💎 Strong Contenders: XRP, ADA, SOL, AVAX
⚡ Next in Line: HBAR, TRUMP, BONK, LINK, ONDO, UNI

🛑 Altcoins to Avoid Right Now

Despite the hype, some altcoins do not present strong risk-reward setups based on technical analysis. 🚨 XRP, ADA, SOL, and ONDO are in a no-trade zone right now due to weak positioning.
❌ XRP & ADA – Stuck in mid-range or rejecting recent highs.
❌ SOL – Recently flipped bearish.
❌ ONDO – Bearish retest, lacking strong upside momentum.

📈 Stronger Altcoin Setups

✅ AVAX – Testing $18 support, offering a well-defined invalidation level for a potential bounce.
✅ APTOS – Strong historical support at $5.30-$5.50, but precision entries are key.

🔄 Potential Reversal Plays

💰 BONK – Key level at 0.00001, could see a strong bounce.
📊 MOVE – A Trump-linked token that could break higher if it reclaims resistance.
🔥 SUI – Watching $0.14 resistance for a possible bullish flip.

⚖ Trading Strategy Ahead of the Summit

Historically, these events play out as “buy the rumor, sell the news.” 📉 Markets have already priced in much of the Strategic Reserve hype (with a 65% probability of a Bitcoin reserve in 2024). If no groundbreaking news drops, expect a sell-off post-summit.

However, if the event delivers unexpected bullish surprises, traders should be ready to pivot fast and capitalize on altcoin strength.

📋 Build Your Watchlist Now

Ahead of Friday’s summit, traders should be tracking: XRP, ADA, SOL, AVAX, APTOS, BONK, MOVE, SUI, ONDO, UNI, and HBAR. Define key support & resistance levels, set alerts, and prepare to react quickly.

👀 What’s your take? Will the summit deliver game-changing news or be another sell-the-news event? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️